Gas Standoff
December 31, 2008In the latest chapter in a row over money Ukraine owes Russia for gas deliveries, a Gazprom spokesman accused Ukraine of threatening Europe's gas supply on state television. Meanwhile, Ukrainian officials entered last-ditch talks in Moscow to avoid a gas supply cutoff on January 1.
Ukraine has already pledged to pay as much as $2 billion in debt for gas supplies delivered in 2008. But disagreements remain over the price Ukraine would pay for Russian gas in 2009 -- a major stumbling block to the two sides signing a new contract to replace the current one that expires at the end of this year.
The accusation of blackmail is not helping matters. Gazprom officials said they had received a letter from Ukraine's state energy firm Naftogaz stating that if Russia turns off the gas, Ukraine could confiscate Russian fuel bound for Western Europe.
Gazprom chairman Alexander Medvedev produced a copy of the letter at a news conference in Moscow on Wednesday.
"It is impossible to view the letter as anything less than blackmail," Medvedev told journalists in the televised conference. "This puts us in a situation when transit volumes to western Europe are in danger."
He said the move undercut Ukraine's credibility as a gas transit partner and violated its contracts for shipping on gas supplies to Europe.
"Frankly speaking, if yesterday we were putting the chances at 50:50, today it is maybe a 70:30 probability of a crisis scenario," spokesman Sergei Kupriyanov told a news conference.
Western Europe dependent on Russia
Europe receives roughly one-quarter of its natural gas from Russia, over 80 percent of those supplies are exported via Ukrainian pipelines.
Ukraine, during a 2006 Russian gas cut-off, siphoned some of the Russian gas destined for Europe, causing price spikes as far away as Paris. In order to avoid a repeat of those events, the government of Ukraine yesterday ordered two state banks to lend Naftogaz $2 billion to settle the debt.
An announcement by Naftogaz earlier that it had transferred $1.5 billion to middle-man gas trading firm Rosukrenergo for the settlement of its debt had looked to be a breakthrough in talks.
Medvedev confirmed that the money had reached Rosukrenergo, a Russian-Ukrainian intermediary based in Switzerland, adding he hoped it would soon be added to Gazprom's accounts.
But Gazprom's allegations of blackmail against Naftogaz have now created an "unprecedented" situation, Kupriyanov said, adding that the chances of reaching a deal now before midnight are highly unlikely.
In Kiev, Naftogaz declined to comment on the letter. But President Viktor Yushchenko's First Deputy Chief of Staff, Oleksander Shlapak, said Ukraine guranteed uninterrupted transit of Russian gas to Europe through its territory.
Gas cuts to Ukraine would start at 10 a.m. (0700 GMT) January 1, if a new contract for gas supplies to Ukraine was not signed by the end of day, Kupriyanov said.
EU calls for negotiated settlement
The European Commission called Wednesday for a "negotiated settlement" between Russia and Ukraine over the gas supply row.
"We are following developments very closely." said commission spokeswoman Christiane Hohmann.
EU Energy Commissioner Andris Piebalgs "talked to both sides on Monday, encouraging them to find a negotiated solution."