1. Skip to content
  2. Skip to main menu
  3. Skip to more DW sites

UK Brexit vote too close to call

May 3, 2016

Ahead of the UK referendum on EU membership in June, the latest poll is showing how close the vote is likely to be. It may be only a 1 percent change downwards for the leave campaign, but it all counts.

https://p.dw.com/p/1IhCp
Boris Johnson on the Brexit campaign trail
Image: Reuters/P. Nicholls

According to a weekly online poll published by opinion poll firm ICM Tuesday, 45 percent of voters were in favor of Brexit, against 44 percent who believe Britain should remain in the 28-member bloc. The photo above shows London Mayor Boris Johnson demonstrating in favor of Britain leaving the EU.

A similar poll published last week by ICM found 44 percent of voters wanted to remain in the EU compared with 46 percent who wanted to leave.

Conducted between April 29 and May 3, the survey was weighted to take into account the likelihood of respondents actually voting in the June 23 EU membership referendum based on their comments, ICM said.

A separate poll for the Observer newspaper on Sunday showed the campaign to stay in the EU had a one percentage point lead over the those who wanted to leave.

Prime Minister David Cameron in the House of Commons
PM David Cameron is campaigning for the UK to stay in Europe.Image: picture-alliance/House of Commons

Meanwhile, a report published Tuesday by the Adam Smith Institute warned that the EU would make it difficult for the UK to negotiate a tailored deal, in order to discourage other member states from trying to leave.

jbh/jm (Reuters)