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Germany: CDU's Merz wants 'positive' Trump trade approach

January 2, 2025

Friedrich Merz said a new push for a free trade deal with the US could "prevent a dangerous spiral of tariffs." The opposition Christian Democrat leader hopes to become chancellor after February's early elections.

https://p.dw.com/p/4okMt
CDU chairman Friedrich Merz and CSU chairman Markus Söder at a press conference in Berlin. December 17, 2024.
Friedrich Merz advocated a 'positive agenda' on trade with the incoming Trump administration, even if it does threaten tariffs (FILE PHOTO: December 17, 2024) Image: Michael Kappeler/dpa/picture alliance

The conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) candidate for chancellor, and apparent frontrunner for early elections in February in Germany, Friedrich Merz, has called for a "positive agenda" on trade with the US and returning President Donald Trump

"We need a positive agenda with the US that benefits American and European consumers alike," Merz said in an interview with the German dpa news agency published on Thursday. 

He even recommended considering renewed attempts at an EU-US free trade deal, after the previous efforts, dubbed TTIP, were put on ice in 2017, early in Trump's first term. 

"A new European-American inititative for joint free trade could prevent a dangerous spiral of tariffs," Merz said. 

Elon Musk und Donald Trump in Brownsville, ahead of a SpaceX test flight, November 19, 2024.
Merz said it would be wise to take Trump at his word on his tariff plans, even though they might not be liable to please business moguls like Elon Musk (FILE PHOTO: November 19, 2024)Image: Brandon Bell/Getty Images/dpa/picture alliance

Merz expects tougher conditions for EU exporters amid Trump

However, Merz also made clear he did anticipate more difficult conditions for European economies after Trump's January 20 inauguration. 

He said it likely made sense to prepare for the US focusing more on itself and its own perceived interests, for instance via higher import tariffs, as Trump repeatedly said he would during and since the election campaign

"But our answer to that should not be: 'Now we'll start with our tariffs too,'" Merz said.

Merz also said that Germany needed to gradually reduce its corporation tax rates towards 25%, with current levels nearer 30%. He said this would tackle non-wage labor costs and make the country an attractive place to do business again. 

Then, he said, Germany could tell the United States: "Yes, we are ready to face this competition with you as well."

US is Germany's biggest export market, and its biggest direct investment site

The US is Germany's most successful export market at roughly 10% of all its foreign sales or €157.9 billion (roughly $163.5 billion) in 2023. The figure continued rising in 2024, based on partial data.

Tariffs could therefore have serious implications for the German economy, or at least parts of it.

Meanwhile, the US is the third most common source for German imports — well behind China, and slightly behind the neighboring Netherlands — accounting for about 7% of German imports, or €94.7 billion. 

What Trump's tariffs mean for Germany's struggling industry

This means Germany has a record annual trade surplus with the US of a little over €63 billion that has been rising slightly in the past few years.

One statistic absent from this count, however, is the US also being the most common site for direct investment by German companies. 

Trump has often lamented this imbalance in bilateral trade, particularly during the election campaign. In several interviews he recalled supposed conversations with previous Chancellor Angela Merkel where he had complained about how few US cars were sold in Germany, for instance, compared to German ones in the US. 

Angela Merkel and Donald Trump sit in the White House Oval Office: April 17, 2018.
Trump says he often complained about Germany's trade surplus to Angela Merkel during his first term (FILE PHOTO: April 17, 2018)Image: Kay Nietfeld/dpa/picture alliance

msh/wd (dpa, Reuters)